Microsoft CEO accidentally underplays GitHub’s pervasiveness

Commentary: Few issues rock a developer’s world like GitHub. This is why nearly each developer is determined by it.

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Picture: GitHub

Are you aware any firm of affordable heft that is not utilizing GitHub? No, the corporate may not be utilizing it to launch its personal open supply initiatives (although, hopefully, that is coming), however Git has develop into normal for constructing and sustaining software program, and builders are inclined to default to GitHub for operating Git. 

Which is why it is odd Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella introduced that 72% of Fortune 50 corporations use GitHub “to construct, ship, and keep software program.” the newest State of the Octoverse report, it appears what Nadella meant to say was that 72% of these Fortune 50 corporations run GitHub Enterprise. However verbal “typo” however, 72% of huge enterprises could pay for GitHub Enterprise, however roughly 100% of enterprises rely upon GitHub indirectly. Let’s dig into the numbers that bear this out. 

SEE: A information to The Open Supply Index and GitHub initiatives guidelines (TechRepublic Premium)

Doing developer math

I fact-checked Nadella’s 72% declare not as a result of it appeared excessive, however as a result of it appeared low. GitHub has develop into central to how builders construct software program; as such, the true variety of builders utilizing GitHub, as Steven J. Vaughan-Nichols pointed out, is nearly actually 100%.

Sure, many corporations will use GitLab (listed here are just some of them). However even the place corporations use a special spin on Git, their builders are nonetheless utilizing GitHub. Depend on it. 

SEE: Implementing DevOps: A information for IT professionals (free PDF) (TechRepublic)

How? Properly, two years in the past GitHub introduced that greater than 40 million builders have been utilizing GitHub. As I stated then, that quantity was virtually actually inflated, simply as is the 65 million quantity that GitHub touts at the moment. Traditionally GitHub has counted “the whole variety of non-spammy consumer accounts on GitHub…no matter their exercise standing,” thereby together with all kinds of inactive accounts, or a number of accounts from the identical developer (as is the case with developers like Ian Massingham). 

Should-read developer content material

So, GitHub overcounts. However even when GitHub is double or triple counting (which appears unlikely), it is nonetheless arduous to do math that implies most builders aren’t utilizing GitHub indirectly. In spite of everything, by a spread of estimates, the worldwide inhabitants of software program builders is probably going someplace round 20 million. (SlashData pegged the software program developer inhabitants at near 19 million in 2019; Evans Information had it at 23 million in 2018; and Statista estimated the whole at 23.9 million in 2019.)  

And, sure, nearly all of them use GitHub, whether or not pulling from public repositories or pushing code to a personal repository. GitHub comes with integrations into the tooling builders care most about (CI/CD, and many others.). It additionally has the neighborhood that makes the world’s largest repository of code come alive. By the facility of Git, GitHub makes model management highly effective; via the facility of GitHub, that model management turns into approachable to a wider physique of builders. 

In brief, few builders can keep away from the gravitational pull of GitHub, even when some have managed to evade GitHub Enterprise.

Disclosure: I work for AWS, however the views expressed herein are mine and do not signify these of my employer.

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